Tartu Welco vs Viimsi JK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
8º
4º
55
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 9% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
FLO
41%
25%
35%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 3
FLO
42%
23%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
WEL
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 4
WEL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Viimsi JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
VJK
6 - 0
TKA
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VJK
1 - 1
LEV
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VJK
4 - 4
HJP
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 4
WEL
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 2
VJK
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |