Tartu Welco vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
4º
16
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 76 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 70 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 70 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 63 |
4º
|
78% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 49 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 23 |
9º
|
68.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 20 |
10º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 0
WEL
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 0
TKA
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 4
WEL
20%
23%
58%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 0
FCE
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 3
WEL
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 4
FCE
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 6
HJP
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
PAI
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 3
VJK
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
3 - 1
PAI
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |