Tartu Welco vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
8º
4º
17
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
60 | 73 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 72 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 71 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 60 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 53 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 39 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 22 |
9º
|
93% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
10º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 2
HJP
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 1
WEL
52%
22%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TKA
0 - 3
WEL
38%
24%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 2
LEV
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HJP
0 - 0
WEL
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 0
TAB
34%
22%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 8
HJP
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VJK
5 - 0
PAI
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
FCT
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
PAI
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |