Tartu Welco vs Levadia Tallinn II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
8º
4º
37
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 4
WEL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
FLO
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 2
TKA
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
WEL
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 0
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Levadia Tallinn II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
LEV
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 2
VJK
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 1
TAB
61%
20%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 3
FLO
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 3
LEV
24%
24%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |