Tartu Welco vs Levadia Tallinn II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
5º
26
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 71 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 66 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 62 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 61 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 57 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 31 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 31 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 29 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 23 |
10º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HJP
0 - 0
WEL
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 1
VJK
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 6
WEL
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 0
FCT
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
TAB
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Levadia Tallinn II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
PAI
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 2
HJP
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 1
LEV
57%
22%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
FCE
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 0
VJK
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |