Tartu Welco vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
8º
4º
78
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 1
WEL
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
PAI
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 0
WEL
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 0
TKA
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 4
WEL
20%
23%
58%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LEV
4 - 3
HJP
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 3
TKA
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
HJP
0 - 0
VJK
57%
22%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 6
HJP
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 1
HJP
15%
20%
66%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |