Tartu Welco vs FC Flora Tallin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
8º
4º
53
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 3
FLO
42%
23%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
WEL
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 4
WEL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
FLO
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 3
FLO
42%
23%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 3
FLO
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
TKA
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
5 - 0
TAB
78%
13%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 4
FCT
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |