Tartu Welco vs FC Flora Tallin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
8º
4º
53
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 2
TKA
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
WEL
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 0
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 3
WEL
31%
24%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
WEL
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 3
FLO
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 0
SJL
92%
6%
2%
|
62 | 26 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 0
TAB
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 11
FLO
23%
22%
54%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 1
HJP
50%
23%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |