Tartu Welco vs FC Flora Tallin III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
VOR
2 - 4
WEL
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 1
TAB
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
NOM
2 - 5
WEL
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
WEL
3 - 0
RAK
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
LAH
1 - 3
WEL
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
KOS
0 - 0
FLO
30%
21%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
OTE
4 - 0
FLO
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
VJK
3 - 0
FLO
57%
19%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
KJA
3 - 2
FLO
14%
17%
70%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 1
PIR
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |