Tartu Welco vs Ararat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
TAR
0 - 3
WEL
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 2
NOM
71%
16%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
WEL
5 - 2
TAA
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
KAR
4 - 3
WEL
17%
21%
63%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
RUD
1 - 1
WEL
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 3
EMM
38%
23%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TDU
0 - 5
FCA
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
TSK
1 - 2
FCA
16%
19%
65%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 4
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
FCA
0 - 1
NOM
47%
23%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |