Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Insurance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
12º
49
1º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welayta Dicha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
WED
1 - 1
MEH
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
WED
0 - 0
ETB
35%
30%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
WED
0 - 2
WOL
32%
29%
40%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HAD
2 - 2
WED
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
JAJ
1 - 2
WED
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopian Insurance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ETH
4 - 1
LEG
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AMK
3 - 4
ETH
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ETH
1 - 7
KGI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
ETH
1 - 1
SIB
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
ETB
1 - 0
ETH
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |