Weiden vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
78.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
WEI
1 - 1
OFC
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
SGF
2 - 0
WEI
84%
11%
6%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
WEI
2 - 4
HES
26%
21%
52%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
REU
4 - 0
WEI
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
WEI
0 - 1
ORU
37%
23%
41%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1990 |
KAI
3 - 2
BRE
43%
26%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1990 |
LEV
1 - 3
BRE
34%
28%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
BRE
2 - 2
BYM
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1990 |
KAI
2 - 2
BRE
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 0
KFC
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |