Weiden vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
57.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 0
WEI
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
SCS
2 - 2
WEI
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
WEI
0 - 1
GRO
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TSV
0 - 0
WEI
69%
18%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
WEI
1 - 1
UNT
24%
27%
49%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
NUR
1 - 2
MEM
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ISM
0 - 1
NUR
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NUR
0 - 1
SCS
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NUR
0 - 1
FUR
74%
16%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 0
NUR
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |