Weiden vs ASV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
7º
5º
18
1º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
AMM
2 - 0
WEI
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WEI
3 - 0
FCE
71%
16%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ELT
1 - 1
WEI
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
WEI
4 - 1
REG
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ING
1 - 0
WEI
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ASV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 4
TSV
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 1
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 2
BAY
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
NEU
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 1
ATS
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |