Weiden vs Neudrossenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
8º
31
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 83% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ATS
2 - 0
WEI
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 1
JRE
54%
22%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 1
WEI
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 1
DJK
58%
21%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 2
WEI
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +3 |
Matches
Neudrossenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 2
TSV
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
BAY
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TSK
0 - 2
NEU
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ATS
3 - 0
NEU
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 1
JRE
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |