Weiden vs MTV Ingolstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
FEU
0 - 3
WEI
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
SCS
1 - 2
WEI
36%
28%
36%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
WEI
0 - 0
BAY
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2000 |
SVL
0 - 2
WEI
37%
28%
35%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
WEI
1 - 2
QUF
46%
26%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
MTV
1 - 3
SCS
57%
23%
19%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BAY
0 - 0
MTV
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
MTV
3 - 0
SVL
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2000 |
QUF
2 - 1
MTV
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
MTV
1 - 1
NEU
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |