Weiden vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 0
WEI
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WEI
0 - 1
ELT
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AMB
3 - 0
WEI
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -3 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WEI
1 - 0
ERL
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
WUR
0 - 1
WEI
17%
19%
64%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ERB
2 - 0
NEU
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 3
GRO
12%
19%
69%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AMM
1 - 2
ERB
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 3
BAY
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AHA
1 - 1
ERB
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |