Weiden vs VfB Eichstätt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
7º
5º
25
1º
16º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 41.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SVO
0 - 6
WEI
11%
15%
73%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
WEI
5 - 0
DEF
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 0
BAD
87%
9%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 3
WEI
7%
14%
79%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WEI
3 - 1
FCS
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
VfB Eichstätt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ING
1 - 1
EIC
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 1
EIC
43%
23%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
EIC
0 - 0
EIN
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SVD
2 - 8
EIC
9%
14%
77%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 0
NEU
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |