Weiden vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
76.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2009 |
SEL
4 - 3
WEI
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
WEI
0 - 0
TSG
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 4
WEI
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 3
WEI
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
WEI
4 - 0
WUR
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
BVB
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BVB
6 - 0
ARB
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
WOL
3 - 0
BVB
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BVB
4 - 0
KSC
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
EIN
0 - 2
BVB
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |