Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiche Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LUB
3 - 1
WEI
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DRO
0 - 1
WEI
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
WEI
4 - 1
LSK
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
HAV
1 - 2
WEI
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WEI
3 - 1
HAM
51%
24%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 6
LEV
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
S04
0 - 2
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
OSN
1 - 2
BRE
9%
16%
75%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 0
WOL
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
STU
2 - 1
BRE
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |