Wegberg-Beeck vs Herkenrath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
HIL
0 - 2
WEG
19%
18%
63%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BWF
1 - 1
WEG
10%
15%
75%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
WEG
2 - 0
VLR
90%
7%
3%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 1
WEG
24%
20%
56%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
WEG
6 - 0
GEW
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
BWF
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
HUR
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
GEW
3 - 3
HER
22%
21%
56%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HER
0 - 4
BFR
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SIE
2 - 1
HER
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |