Wegberg-Beeck vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
17º
17º
25
14º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KÖL
1 - 0
WEG
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
WEG
1 - 0
FOR
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 2
MEE
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
STR
0 - 0
WEG
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
WEG
1 - 1
MON
6%
14%
80%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
RWA
0 - 5
DIE
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 0
RWA
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
RWA
2 - 1
SVE
15%
20%
65%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RWA
3 - 5
SPO
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RWA
2 - 1
LSV
22%
20%
57%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |