Wegberg-Beeck vs Rödinghausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
17º
17º
48
3º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
S04
1 - 0
WEG
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
WEG
2 - 1
BOR
18%
21%
60%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WUP
2 - 0
WEG
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
WEG
1 - 3
DUR
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 2
WEG
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rödinghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 0
DIE
44%
24%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 0
ROD
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
S04
3 - 0
ROD
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 4
BOR
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WUP
1 - 0
ROD
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |