Wegberg-Beeck vs Pesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
15º
4º
19
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 55 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KON
1 - 0
WEG
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WEG
1 - 2
TWE
65%
17%
18%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
WEG
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WEG
0 - 2
MON
3%
9%
88%
|
38 | 88 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WEG
1 - 2
GUT
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PES
1 - 2
SCF
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
H05
1 - 1
PES
40%
23%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
PES
7 - 0
SHN
82%
11%
6%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 3
PES
17%
18%
65%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PES
2 - 0
BWF
93%
6%
2%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | +1 |