Wegberg-Beeck vs Pesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
2º
2º
26
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
WEG
1 - 0
KON
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 0
WEG
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 0
SIE
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 2
WEG
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 3
BGP
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
PES
1 - 2
VFL
31%
22%
48%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
KON
2 - 2
PES
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PES
2 - 2
SPF
33%
23%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 0
PES
46%
23%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PES
2 - 1
VIA
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +2 |