Wegberg-Beeck vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
15º
4º
12
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 55 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 0
USC
71%
16%
13%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
WEG
5 - 0
SPV
61%
18%
21%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
4 - 3
WEG
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 1
VFL
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 3
WEG
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
H05
0 - 1
SCF
34%
24%
43%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
H05
61%
18%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
USC
1 - 3
H05
39%
21%
40%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
H05
1 - 4
SPV
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 0
H05
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |