Wegberg-Beeck vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BER
0 - 3
WEG
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
BFR
1 - 3
WEG
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
WEG
4 - 0
MER
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SPF
0 - 1
WEG
11%
16%
73%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WEG
3 - 1
SIE
79%
13%
9%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
DUR
0 - 1
VIA
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 0
DUR
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DUR
5 - 2
ALT
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BWF
3 - 6
DUR
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
2 - 2
H05
21%
19%
60%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |