Wegberg-Beeck vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HUL
3 - 0
WEG
63%
20%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
WEG
3 - 3
MSV
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 2
WEG
75%
17%
8%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 3
WEG
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
WEG
2 - 2
VEL
12%
20%
68%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 3
KÖL
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
KÖL
4 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 2
KÖL
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
KÖL
0 - 1
ROT
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
WHE
0 - 2
KÖL
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |