Wegberg-Beeck vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
2º
2º
31
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SIE
3 - 1
WEG
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 5
WEG
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
WEG
4 - 0
SCF
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BER
3 - 0
WEG
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WEG
3 - 0
VFL
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BWF
0 - 2
SVE
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BWF
0 - 7
KON
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BFR
5 - 2
BWF
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BWF
1 - 0
SIE
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PES
6 - 0
BWF
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |