Wegberg-Beeck vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
15º
4º
40
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 55 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FVE
2 - 6
WEG
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 0
SIE
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 1
WEG
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 2
PES
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KON
1 - 0
WEG
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 0
SCF
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
H05
0 - 5
BSC
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
5 - 0
USC
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 1
BSC
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 2
SPF
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |