Oberperfuss vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
10º
15º
10º
27
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberperfuss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KEM
1 - 0
WBO
76%
14%
11%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WBO
2 - 0
STJ
35%
22%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
3 - 0
WBO
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
WBO
2 - 1
WIN
8%
16%
76%
|
15 | 61 | 46 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SVI
2 - 1
WBO
57%
19%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 1
SVM
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 1
KIR
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KIR
3 - 4
SPG
25%
20%
54%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IAC
4 - 2
KIR
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 2
SCM
66%
18%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |