WBC vs System 3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
JOE
5 - 0
WBC
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AUN
1 - 1
WBC
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
GUY
1 - 2
WBC
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
RHO
2 - 3
WBC
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SJH
4 - 1
WBC
52%
22%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
System 3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
BAY
2 - 2
SYS
80%
14%
6%
|
8 | 60 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SYS
0 - 4
BAY
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | -1 |