Wattenscheid 09 vs SpVgg Vreden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
13º
11º
6
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 66 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 65 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 64 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 63 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 62 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 62 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 57 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 56 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 54 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 48 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 46 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 42 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 40 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 39 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 30 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 20 |
19º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ENN
1 - 1
WAT
31%
21%
48%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
WAT
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ERH
3 - 1
WAT
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 0
ASC
20%
23%
58%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +4 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 4
WAT
55%
20%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
SpVgg Vreden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SVR
2 - 1
SFB
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TVC
0 - 3
SVR
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SVR
2 - 1
TUS
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RWA
3 - 2
SVR
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SVR
2 - 3
LIP
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |