Wattenscheid 09 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
SVS
2 - 3
WAT
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
WAT
4 - 1
BAY
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
WAT
2 - 1
VIK
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
ROT
3 - 0
WAT
45%
25%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
WAT
2 - 2
EBT
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
MSV
1 - 1
SAA
29%
28%
42%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
AAA
1 - 2
MSV
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1988 |
MSV
3 - 5
HSV
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
WAT
2 - 1
MSV
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1986 |
MSV
1 - 1
WAT
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |