Wattenscheid 09 vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
S04
0 - 2
WAT
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 1
BOR
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
AAA
0 - 1
WAT
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
VER
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
PRE
5 - 0
WAT
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 1
HEI
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 0
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 2
OFC
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 1
IST
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 3
MBO
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |