Wattenscheid 09 vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1998 |
OFC
0 - 1
WAT
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
ROT
1 - 0
WAT
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
WAT
1 - 1
COT
48%
25%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1998 |
STP
1 - 0
WAT
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
WAT
1 - 1
M05
42%
25%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
KÖL
1 - 3
KAI
20%
26%
54%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
KÖL
1 - 4
SGF
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
TEN
3 - 2
KÖL
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
KÖL
2 - 1
SVS
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1998 |
KFC
1 - 2
KÖL
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |