Wattenscheid 09 vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
FCN
3 - 0
WAT
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
HER
1 - 2
WAT
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
WAT
3 - 0
MEP
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
ZWI
2 - 0
WAT
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
WAT
2 - 1
LOK
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
KÖL
1 - 0
WAL
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
FCN
1 - 1
KÖL
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
KÖL
0 - 1
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
MEP
2 - 2
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ZWI
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |