Wattenscheid 09 vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
SVS
3 - 1
WAT
81%
13%
7%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1982 |
WAT
1 - 2
AAA
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1982 |
KFC
3 - 1
WAT
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
OSN
3 - 0
WAT
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
WAT
1 - 1
MUN
35%
26%
40%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
KÖL
3 - 0
DAR
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1982 |
HAN
4 - 2
KÖL
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1982 |
KÖL
2 - 0
HES
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
HAN
2 - 0
KÖL
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
KÖL
5 - 1
BAY
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |