Wattenscheid 09 vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
VIK
2 - 3
WAT
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
WAT
0 - 1
VFB
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
ROT
3 - 2
WAT
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
WAT
3 - 1
RWL
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
BRE
3 - 1
WAT
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 0
HAN
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
RWL
1 - 0
KÖL
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 0
ROT
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
KÖL
2 - 2
ERK
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
HOL
2 - 1
KÖL
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |