Wattenscheid 09 vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
LEV
0 - 0
WAT
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
WAT
4 - 2
OSN
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1977 |
WAT
5 - 2
WOL
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
ARB
4 - 0
WAT
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
WAT
2 - 2
AAA
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 3
KFC
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
KÖL
0 - 2
HAN
51%
23%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1977 |
PRE
1 - 1
KÖL
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
KÖL
0 - 0
STP
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
WHE
4 - 2
KÖL
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |