WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
11º
11º
4
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
9 | 37 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 37 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 36 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 35 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 33 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 32 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 32 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 27 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 24 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
18% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
82% | 81.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WSG Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 2
WAT
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
IMS
0 - 3
WAT
12%
16%
72%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 3
LYO
19%
22%
59%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 2
SGF
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 5
FCK
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 3
ALA
42%
23%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 3
RBS
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ATV
2 - 2
GRA
2%
6%
92%
|
77 | 31 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
5 - 1
GRA
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 1
HNS
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |