Swarovski Tirol II vs Ebbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
2º
1º
26
3º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 25 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 20 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 13 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 12 |
4º
|
53% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 9 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
FUG
2 - 3
WAT
25%
21%
54%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 5
FCV
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 6
WAT
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 0
KIT
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WAT
7 - 0
STJ
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ebbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 1
EBB
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
EBB
2 - 2
FUG
29%
24%
46%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FUG
4 - 1
EBB
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EBB
3 - 0
FCV
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 0
EBB
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |