Swarovski Tirol II vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
2º
1º
41
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 25 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 20 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 13 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 12 |
4º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 9 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
WAT
7 - 0
STJ
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
EBB
1 - 1
WAT
13%
19%
69%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
5 - 1
FUG
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 4
WAT
16%
20%
65%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IAC
3 - 3
WAT
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 0
EBB
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FUG
0 - 1
KIT
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KIT
6 - 2
FCV
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EBB
1 - 3
KIT
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KUN
1 - 2
KIT
12%
18%
70%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |