Swarovski Tirol II vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SVM
2 - 3
WAT
9%
14%
77%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TEL
3 - 3
WAT
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 1
MOT
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
ZIR
2 - 1
WAT
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
WAT
3 - 0
SVI
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
KIR
0 - 1
TEL
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MOT
2 - 0
KIR
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
KIR
1 - 3
ZIR
51%
20%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
SVI
2 - 7
KIR
40%
22%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
KIR
2 - 0
KUN
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |