Swarovski Tirol II vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
WAT
2 - 1
UNI
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MOT
4 - 1
WAT
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
WAT
2 - 0
SVI
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
VOL
1 - 1
WAT
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
WAT
0 - 3
UNI
46%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -3 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
KIR
2 - 0
MOT
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
SVI
1 - 0
KIR
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
KIR
5 - 3
VOL
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
JEN
0 - 1
KIR
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
MOT
0 - 1
KIR
28%
21%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |