Wattenbach vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 2
HES
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 2
WAL
14%
21%
65%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
GOR
5 - 0
WAT
76%
15%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
WAT
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 1
SWM
14%
20%
66%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
FER
3 - 2
FRA
32%
23%
44%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 1
FER
63%
19%
17%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
FER
1 - 0
ERZ
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 0
VIK
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
BAY
1 - 1
FER
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |