Watford vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
WAT
0 - 1
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
REA
0 - 3
WAT
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MIL
0 - 2
WAT
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 3
WAT
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WAT
1 - 1
BHA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
DER
1 - 1
WIG
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
WIG
4 - 0
SHE
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
WIG
0 - 0
BUR
57%
24%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WOL
3 - 3
WIG
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
WIG
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |