Watford vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1990 |
WAT
0 - 2
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
STO
2 - 2
WAT
31%
29%
41%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1989 |
BAR
0 - 1
WAT
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
WAT
7 - 2
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
WAT
3 - 0
OLD
45%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
WIG
0 - 3
LIV
9%
20%
70%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
LIV
5 - 2
WIG
94%
5%
1%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
WIG
5 - 0
WRE
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1989 |
WRE
0 - 0
WIG
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
HAR
2 - 0
WIG
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |