EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-1
Watford vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
CRE
0 - 2
WAT
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
WAT
0 - 2
PLY
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
WAL
1 - 0
WAT
56%
23%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
BOU
1 - 2
WAT
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
WAT
0 - 1
LEI
49%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
CHE
1 - 0
WAL
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
BUR
2 - 1
WAL
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
WAL
1 - 0
WAT
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
WAL
1 - 1
ROT
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1996 |
BUR
1 - 1
WAL
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |