Watford vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
WAT
0 - 0
CRY
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1995 |
WAT
2 - 0
SCA
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
WAT
0 - 0
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
SCA
0 - 0
WAT
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
BRI
0 - 0
WAT
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
SWI
2 - 1
MID
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
SWI
3 - 1
MIL
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
SWI
2 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
OLD
1 - 1
SWI
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1994 |
SWI
1 - 3
SHE
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |